Portugal vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1935 |
POR
3 - 3
ESP
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
POR
1 - 2
ESP
40%
24%
37%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
ESP
9 - 0
POR
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
POR
67%
17%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
POR
1 - 0
HUN
40%
22%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
ESP
4 - 5
AUT
53%
20%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
AUT
4 - 4
HUN
65%
17%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
POL
1 - 0
AUT
36%
21%
43%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
AUT
5 - 2
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
HUN
6 - 3
AUT
46%
21%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |