Portugal vs Albania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
NIR
0 - 0
POR
34%
30%
36%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
GRC
0 - 0
POR
31%
29%
40%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
POR
0 - 2
FRA
28%
29%
43%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
POR
0 - 0
GER
42%
26%
32%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
POR
1 - 0
UKR
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Albania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
ALB
2 - 3
GER
7%
21%
72%
|
64 | 93 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
ALB
0 - 1
UKR
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
NIR
2 - 0
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1996 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARM
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
ALB
0 - 3
POR
18%
29%
53%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |