Portugal vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1966 |
POR
3 - 1
BRA
44%
23%
34%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1966 |
POR
3 - 0
BGR
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1966 |
POR
3 - 1
HUN
39%
23%
39%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1966 |
POR
1 - 0
ROU
55%
22%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
POR
3 - 0
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1966 |
PRK
1 - 0
ITA
37%
24%
39%
|
9 | 89 | 80 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1966 |
PRK
1 - 1
CHI
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 77 | 69 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1966 |
SUN
3 - 0
PRK
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 83 | 75 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1960 |
CHN
1 - 0
PRK
80%
11%
9%
|
8 | 72 | 64 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
PRK
1 - 0
CHN
34%
21%
45%
|
7 | 72 | 65 | +1 |