Portugal vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.3%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
POR
0 - 0
NED
25%
26%
49%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
POR
2 - 0
ISR
65%
22%
13%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
SVK
0 - 3
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
POR
0 - 1
ROU
46%
27%
27%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
HUN
1 - 3
POR
35%
29%
36%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
EST
2 - 2
AZE
36%
25%
38%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1998 |
AZE
2 - 1
EST
60%
22%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
LIE
2 - 1
AZE
27%
23%
50%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
AZE
0 - 4
HUN
7%
15%
78%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
SVK
3 - 0
AZE
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |