Poland vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
POL
4 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
POL
2 - 2
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
POL
3 - 2
KOR
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
POL
0 - 1
NGA
61%
22%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
POL
0 - 1
MEX
37%
26%
38%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
KOR
0 - 2
SEN
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
SEN
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
LUX
0 - 0
SEN
10%
21%
69%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LUX
0 - 0
SEN
9%
19%
72%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
BIH
0 - 0
SEN
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |