Poland vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
KWT
1 - 1
POL
21%
28%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
IRN
0 - 1
POL
29%
28%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1990 |
IRN
0 - 2
POL
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1989 |
ALB
1 - 2
POL
13%
22%
65%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
POL
0 - 2
SWE
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
ENG
2 - 1
YUG
58%
23%
19%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
BRA
0 - 0
YUG
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
CYP
1 - 2
YUG
13%
23%
64%
|
90 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1989 |
YUG
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
YUG
3 - 0
GRC
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |