Poland vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
POL
0 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
ROU
0 - 5
POL
60%
19%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
POL
2 - 1
LVA
76%
14%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 1932 |
POL
2 - 0
SWE
48%
20%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 May. 1932 |
YUG
0 - 3
POL
24%
21%
55%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1933 |
YUG
2 - 1
CSK
28%
22%
50%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
ROU
5 - 0
YUG
85%
10%
6%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1933 |
BGR
0 - 4
YUG
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 1933 |
GRC
3 - 5
YUG
83%
11%
7%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
SUI
4 - 1
YUG
87%
9%
5%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |