Poland vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1982 |
POL
3 - 0
BEL
74%
15%
10%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1982 |
POL
5 - 1
PER
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1982 |
POL
0 - 0
CMR
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
0 - 0
POL
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1981 |
POL
2 - 3
ESP
61%
23%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1982 |
BEL
0 - 1
SUN
47%
25%
29%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1982 |
SUN
2 - 2
SCO
77%
14%
9%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1982 |
SUN
3 - 0
NZL
86%
10%
5%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
2 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
10%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1982 |
SWE
1 - 1
SUN
27%
29%
45%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |