Poland vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.6%
14.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BGR
1 - 1
POL
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1957 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
56%
19%
25%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
SUN
3 - 0
POL
41%
21%
39%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
POL
0 - 1
TUR
42%
20%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1956 |
TUR
1 - 1
POL
63%
18%
20%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1957 |
HUN
1 - 2
SUN
93%
5%
2%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1957 |
FIN
0 - 10
SUN
75%
13%
11%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 1957 |
SUN
2 - 1
FIN
57%
20%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 1957 |
BGR
0 - 4
SUN
75%
14%
12%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
SUN
3 - 0
POL
41%
21%
39%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +2 |