Poland vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRL
2 - 0
POL
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POL
4 - 1
ROU
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
POL
4 - 1
MKD
70%
19%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
POL
1 - 3
URU
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
ENG
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 2
UKR
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
BGR
0 - 1
UKR
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
UKR
0 - 1
MNE
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
MDA
0 - 0
UKR
16%
26%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 1
UKR
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |