Poland vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1963 |
POL
9 - 0
NOR
68%
16%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
POL
1 - 1
ROU
62%
19%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1963 |
POL
4 - 0
GRC
64%
17%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1963 |
NOR
2 - 5
POL
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1962 |
NIR
2 - 0
POL
56%
20%
25%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1963 |
TUR
0 - 1
ITA
32%
25%
44%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
ETH
0 - 0
TUR
42%
21%
38%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1962 |
TUR
1 - 1
DEN
45%
23%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
ITA
6 - 0
TUR
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
ISR
0 - 2
TUR
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |