Poland vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1926 |
POL
6 - 1
HUN
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1926 |
HUN
4 - 1
POL
72%
16%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1926 |
POL
7 - 1
FIN
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 1926 |
POL
2 - 0
EST
61%
20%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1925 |
POL
2 - 6
SWE
38%
23%
39%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1926 |
BGR
3 - 3
TUR
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1926 |
TUR
1 - 3
ROU
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1925 |
TUR
1 - 2
POL
65%
19%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1925 |
TUR
1 - 2
SUN
86%
10%
5%
|
76 | 11 | 65 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1925 |
ROU
1 - 2
TUR
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |