Poland vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1960 |
POL
4 - 0
BGR
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1960 |
SUN
7 - 1
POL
51%
20%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 May. 1960 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
POL
3 - 1
BRD
44%
22%
34%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 1959 |
ISR
1 - 1
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1960 |
YUG
7 - 0
TUN
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
TUN
1 - 5
YUG
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
TUN
0 - 0
MLT
62%
18%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |