Poland vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1936 |
DEN
2 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
POL
1 - 1
GER
42%
21%
36%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
YUG
9 - 3
POL
47%
20%
32%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
LVA
3 - 3
POL
42%
22%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 2
POL
61%
18%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1937 |
SWE
7 - 2
EST
89%
7%
4%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1937 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1937 |
SWE
0 - 4
ENG
58%
18%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 2
SWE
40%
20%
40%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
JPN
3 - 2
SWE
38%
21%
41%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |