Poland vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 1
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 4
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
POL
3 - 1
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ROU
1 - 0
DDR
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 0
ROU
29%
26%
46%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1983 |
SWE
0 - 1
ROU
54%
26%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
YUG
1 - 0
ROU
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
ROU
0 - 1
CSK
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |