Poland vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
POL
5 - 0
LBY
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
POL
2 - 0
NED
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
DDR
2 - 1
POL
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
POL
1 - 1
HUN
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
ALG
0 - 1
POL
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
DDR
1 - 0
ROU
66%
22%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
CYP
1 - 1
ROU
6%
20%
75%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
ROU
2 - 2
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
ROU
3 - 0
GRC
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 1
ROU
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |