Poland vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 4
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
POL
1 - 4
FRA
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 1
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1967 |
POL
0 - 1
SUN
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1967 |
POL
0 - 1
SUN
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1967 |
ROU
0 - 1
ITA
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1967 |
SUI
7 - 1
ROU
39%
24%
38%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
ROU
7 - 0
CYP
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1967 |
FRA
1 - 2
ROU
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1967 |
GRC
1 - 2
ROU
40%
24%
35%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |