Poland vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1959 |
POL
2 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1959 |
POL
7 - 2
ISR
48%
20%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1959 |
GER
1 - 1
POL
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
IRL
2 - 2
POL
67%
16%
17%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
POL
1 - 3
HUN
10%
15%
76%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1959 |
ROU
0 - 0
SUN
59%
19%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1959 |
SUN
2 - 0
ROU
39%
21%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
TUR
2 - 0
ROU
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
ROU
3 - 0
TUR
45%
21%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
ROU
1 - 2
HUN
12%
16%
73%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |