Poland vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
23.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1950 |
ALB
0 - 0
POL
48%
20%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
POL
2 - 1
ALB
56%
19%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
CSK
2 - 0
POL
78%
12%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
POL
3 - 2
BGR
62%
18%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1949 |
HUN
8 - 2
POL
85%
9%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1949 |
ALB
1 - 4
ROU
50%
20%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ROU
1 - 1
ALB
57%
19%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
CSK
3 - 2
ROU
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
ROU
2 - 1
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
ROU
1 - 5
HUN
30%
21%
50%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |