Poland vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1937 |
POL
3 - 1
SWE
42%
21%
37%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1936 |
DEN
2 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
POL
1 - 1
GER
42%
21%
36%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
LVA
3 - 3
POL
42%
22%
37%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
YUG
9 - 3
POL
47%
20%
32%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1937 |
ROU
2 - 2
SWE
47%
21%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1937 |
ROU
2 - 1
BEL
72%
15%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ROU
1 - 1
CSK
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1936 |
ROU
1 - 2
HUN
45%
20%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1936 |
ROU
4 - 1
BGR
69%
16%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |