Poland vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
LVA
2 - 6
POL
40%
23%
38%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1934 |
POL
2 - 5
GER
48%
21%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1934 |
YUG
4 - 1
POL
35%
22%
43%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -2 |
| 23 May. 1934 |
SWE
4 - 2
POL
75%
13%
12%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1934 |
DEN
4 - 2
POL
68%
17%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1934 |
CSK
2 - 1
ROU
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1934 |
ROU
2 - 1
YUG
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
SUI
2 - 2
ROU
45%
21%
34%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
ROU
5 - 0
YUG
85%
10%
6%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1933 |
ROU
1 - 0
GRC
69%
16%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |