Poland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1981 |
POL
1 - 0
DDR
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
ROU
2 - 0
POL
44%
26%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
MLT
0 - 2
POL
16%
23%
60%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
POL
5 - 1
ALG
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 2
POL
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
IRL
3 - 1
CSK
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 0
IRL
71%
20%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1981 |
IRL
1 - 3
WAL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
IRL
6 - 0
CYP
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1980 |
FRA
2 - 0
IRL
73%
19%
9%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |