Poland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
POL
5 - 2
GRC
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
LUX
1 - 3
POL
12%
16%
72%
|
87 | 44 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
POL
2 - 1
SWE
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
POL
1 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
POL
4 - 1
DEN
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
IRL
4 - 2
TUR
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 0
BGR
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
BGR
2 - 1
IRL
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 0
POL
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1977 |
IRL
1 - 0
FRA
38%
25%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |