Poland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1973 |
POL
2 - 2
YUG
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
WAL
2 - 0
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
POL
4 - 0
USA
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
POL
3 - 0
CSK
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
POL
2 - 1
HUN
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1973 |
SUN
1 - 0
IRL
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1972 |
IRL
2 - 1
FRA
35%
24%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
IRL
1 - 2
SUN
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1972 |
POR
2 - 1
IRL
70%
18%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1972 |
IRL
1 - 2
CHI
38%
23%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |