Poland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
YUG
1 - 0
POL
48%
20%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
SUI
3 - 3
POL
43%
21%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
POL
2 - 1
LVA
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
POL
4 - 0
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
BGR
3 - 3
POL
52%
20%
28%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1938 |
CSK
2 - 2
IRL
73%
15%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1937 |
IRL
3 - 3
NOR
54%
20%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
NOR
3 - 2
IRL
66%
17%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1937 |
FRA
0 - 2
IRL
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1937 |
SUI
0 - 1
IRL
52%
21%
27%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |