Poland vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
SUI
0 - 2
POL
23%
26%
50%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
POL
3 - 0
ROU
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1979 |
POL
5 - 0
LBY
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1979 |
POL
2 - 0
NED
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
DDR
2 - 1
POL
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
ISL
0 - 3
DDR
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
SUN
1 - 0
DDR
61%
23%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
DDR
1 - 0
ROU
66%
22%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
SUI
0 - 2
DDR
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
DDR
2 - 1
POL
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |