Poland vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
POL
4 - 0
GHA
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
POL
5 - 1
COL
83%
11%
7%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1972 |
POL
0 - 0
SUI
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
POL
3 - 0
BGR
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
POL
2 - 0
ESP
83%
10%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
DDR
6 - 1
COL
83%
10%
7%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
DDR
4 - 0
GHA
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1972 |
DDR
0 - 0
URU
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1972 |
DDR
1 - 0
URU
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
YUG
0 - 0
DDR
17%
20%
64%
|
82 | 31 | 51 | 0 |