Poland vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.4%
6.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
POL
0 - 2
GER
37%
22%
41%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1961 |
POL
1 - 1
YUG
28%
22%
50%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
YUG
2 - 1
POL
87%
9%
4%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
POL
1 - 0
SUN
57%
19%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
HUN
4 - 1
POL
94%
5%
2%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
DDR
2 - 3
HUN
14%
18%
69%
|
34 | 92 | 58 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 2
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
DEN
1 - 1
DDR
84%
10%
7%
|
33 | 78 | 45 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 1
NED
21%
19%
60%
|
32 | 72 | 40 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
HUN
2 - 0
DDR
92%
6%
3%
|
32 | 92 | 60 | 0 |