Poland vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1956 |
HUN
4 - 1
POL
91%
6%
3%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1956 |
NOR
0 - 0
POL
68%
17%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
54%
19%
27%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1955 |
BGR
1 - 1
POL
56%
19%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
ROU
2 - 2
POL
69%
17%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
DDR
1 - 0
BGR
18%
20%
62%
|
8 | 64 | 56 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
ROU
2 - 3
DDR
80%
11%
9%
|
7 | 70 | 63 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BGR
3 - 1
DDR
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 61 | 54 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
DDR
0 - 1
POL
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 63 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1954 |
DDR
0 - 1
ROU
27%
20%
53%
|
7 | 71 | 64 | 0 |