Poland vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
CSK
2 - 2
POL
79%
12%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1952 |
DEN
2 - 0
POL
77%
13%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 1952 |
POL
2 - 1
FRA
44%
21%
35%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
POL
1 - 5
HUN
28%
21%
51%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
ROU
1 - 0
POL
68%
16%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1952 |
HUN
5 - 0
DDR
94%
4%
2%
|
7 | 86 | 79 | 0 |