Poland vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
NED
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
21%
19%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
SVN
84%
11%
5%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
GEO
2 - 0
POR
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |