Poland vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
SUN
2 - 0
POL
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
POL
2 - 2
ROU
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1983 |
NOR
0 - 1
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
SUN
46%
26%
28%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 4
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
PRT
5 - 0
FIN
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
PRT
0 - 4
BRA
18%
26%
56%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
SUN
5 - 0
PRT
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1983 |
PRT
0 - 0
HUN
33%
27%
39%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
PRT
1 - 0
BRD
18%
25%
57%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |