Poland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
BGR
4 - 1
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1969 |
NED
1 - 0
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
TUR
1 - 3
POL
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
POL
8 - 1
LUX
77%
13%
9%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1968 |
ARG
1 - 0
POL
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
FIN
2 - 2
NOR
46%
22%
32%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1969 |
NOR
2 - 1
ISL
69%
15%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1969 |
NOR
3 - 0
BMU
88%
9%
4%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1969 |
NOR
2 - 5
SWE
29%
24%
48%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
SWE
4 - 2
NOR
81%
13%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |