Poland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
POL
1 - 1
ROU
62%
19%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1963 |
POL
4 - 0
GRC
64%
17%
19%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1963 |
NOR
2 - 5
POL
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1962 |
NIR
2 - 0
POL
56%
20%
25%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
CSK
2 - 1
POL
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1963 |
FIN
2 - 0
NOR
37%
22%
41%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1963 |
NOR
4 - 3
SCO
31%
23%
46%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1963 |
NOR
2 - 5
POL
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1962 |
SWE
1 - 1
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |