Poland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1956 |
POL
1 - 2
BGR
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1956 |
POL
0 - 2
DDR
90%
7%
3%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1956 |
HUN
4 - 1
POL
91%
6%
3%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1956 |
NOR
0 - 0
POL
68%
17%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
FIN
1 - 3
POL
54%
19%
27%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
NOR
3 - 1
SWE
33%
22%
45%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1956 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1956 |
ROU
2 - 0
NOR
64%
19%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1956 |
DEN
2 - 3
NOR
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1956 |
NOR
1 - 3
GER
35%
22%
43%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |