Poland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
LVA
2 - 1
POL
44%
22%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
POL
4 - 4
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
GER
4 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
BRA
6 - 5
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1938 |
POL
6 - 0
IRL
62%
18%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
SWE
2 - 3
NOR
69%
15%
16%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
59%
19%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1938 |
NOR
9 - 0
FIN
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
ITA
2 - 1
NOR
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |