Poland vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
BGR
0 - 3
POL
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
POL
2 - 0
ISR
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1998 |
UKR
1 - 2
POL
33%
25%
43%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
POL
3 - 1
RUS
44%
25%
32%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
CRO
4 - 1
POL
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
GER
7 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
40 | 95 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
LUX
0 - 2
CMR
20%
25%
55%
|
40 | 78 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
CYP
2 - 0
LUX
81%
13%
7%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
LUX
1 - 3
CYP
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
BGR
4 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
41 | 88 | 47 | 0 |