Poland vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
POL
2 - 3
YUG
76%
14%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
AUT
5 - 2
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
POL
3 - 3
ROU
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1934 |
LVA
2 - 6
POL
40%
23%
38%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1935 |
LTU
2 - 2
LVA
55%
20%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1935 |
EST
1 - 1
LVA
56%
20%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1935 |
LTU
2 - 2
LVA
55%
20%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1935 |
LVA
0 - 3
SWE
27%
21%
52%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1935 |
LVA
1 - 1
EST
62%
19%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |