Poland vs Kazakhstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
7%
2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
FIN
0 - 0
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
POR
2 - 2
POL
68%
19%
13%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
RUS
2 - 2
POL
44%
26%
30%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
ARM
1 - 0
POL
12%
21%
67%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 3
POL
9%
20%
71%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
KAZ
2 - 2
BEL
13%
21%
66%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 1
TJK
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
FIN
2 - 1
KAZ
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 1
AZE
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
KAZ
1 - 2
ARM
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |