Poland vs Kazakhstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
BEL
3 - 1
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
93%
6%
1%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
POL
0 - 0
HUN
52%
25%
24%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
MKD
0 - 3
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
CRO
0 - 0
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
FRO
2 - 1
KAZ
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FRO
3 - 2
KAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
MLT
2 - 2
KAZ
22%
24%
55%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2002 |
KAZ
1 - 1
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
LVA
2 - 1
KAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |