Poland vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
POL
0 - 0
LTU
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
POL
1 - 2
NED
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POL
5 - 0
FIN
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
SRB
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
POL
3 - 1
CZE
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SVK
0 - 0
NIR
66%
22%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
NIR
3 - 0
BLR
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
NIR
1 - 0
SVN
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 1
NIR
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
NIR
1 - 0
LVA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |