EC Qualifying Clasificación Final
Global 0-4
Poland vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
12.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
BGR
2 - 1
POL
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1962 |
POL
0 - 2
HUN
17%
19%
64%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1962 |
POL
2 - 0
BEL
61%
18%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
MAR
1 - 3
POL
56%
19%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
FRA
1 - 3
POL
74%
15%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1962 |
NED
4 - 0
NIR
73%
14%
13%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
WAL
4 - 0
NIR
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1961 |
ENG
1 - 1
NIR
93%
5%
2%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1961 |
NIR
2 - 0
GRC
61%
17%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1961 |
NIR
1 - 6
SCO
39%
22%
38%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |