Poland vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1980 |
POL
1 - 0
SCO
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1980 |
BRD
3 - 1
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
YUG
2 - 1
POL
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
ITA
2 - 2
POL
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
BEL
2 - 1
POL
42%
27%
30%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1980 |
IRQ
1 - 0
POL
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
IRQ
1 - 1
POL
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
IRQ
2 - 0
KSA
72%
16%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1979 |
IRQ
5 - 0
NPL
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 37 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1979 |
IRQ
3 - 1
KWT
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |