Poland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
58.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1966 |
ARG
1 - 1
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 1
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
4 - 1
POL
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
36%
24%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1966 |
POL
1 - 1
HUN
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1966 |
DEN
0 - 2
ENG
21%
21%
59%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1966 |
NOR
1 - 6
ENG
18%
20%
62%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
FIN
0 - 3
ENG
21%
20%
60%
|
89 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
75%
15%
11%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
SCO
3 - 4
ENG
36%
23%
41%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |