Poland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1975 |
POL
4 - 1
NED
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1975 |
CAN
1 - 4
POL
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1975 |
CAN
1 - 8
POL
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1975 |
USA
0 - 4
POL
28%
26%
47%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1975 |
DDR
1 - 2
POL
53%
25%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
HUN
2 - 1
AUT
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1975 |
IRN
1 - 2
HUN
18%
23%
59%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
HUN
1 - 2
WAL
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1975 |
AUT
0 - 0
HUN
35%
27%
39%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
FRA
2 - 0
HUN
31%
26%
43%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |