Poland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 1
POL
87%
8%
4%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1965 |
ITA
6 - 1
POL
82%
12%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
POL
7 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
8%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
SCO
1 - 2
POL
69%
17%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
FIN
2 - 0
POL
35%
22%
43%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
HUN
3 - 2
DDR
87%
9%
4%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
HUN
3 - 0
AUT
85%
10%
6%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1965 |
HUN
2 - 1
ITA
75%
15%
10%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
AUT
0 - 1
HUN
31%
23%
47%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
DDR
1 - 1
HUN
19%
21%
61%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |