Poland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
50.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
POL
3 - 3
ROU
58%
19%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1950 |
ALB
0 - 0
POL
48%
20%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
POL
2 - 1
ALB
56%
19%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
CSK
2 - 0
POL
78%
12%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
POL
3 - 2
BGR
62%
18%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1950 |
AUT
5 - 3
HUN
51%
20%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
HUN
5 - 0
CSK
78%
12%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
SWE
66%
16%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
BGR
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
AUT
3 - 4
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |