Poland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
38.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
POL
1 - 1
SUI
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
POL
3 - 3
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FRA
4 - 0
POL
51%
20%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
IRL
3 - 2
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
POL
2 - 2
NOR
53%
20%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1939 |
HUN
1 - 3
ITA
53%
21%
27%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
HUN
2 - 2
IRL
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
SUI
3 - 1
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
IRL
2 - 2
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1939 |
FRA
2 - 2
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |