Poland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
BEL
0 - 2
POL
52%
20%
28%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
ROU
4 - 1
POL
57%
19%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
POL
1 - 0
AUT
36%
21%
43%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
3 - 3
LVA
77%
13%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1936 |
HUN
1 - 2
ITA
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 3
IRL
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
AUT
3 - 5
HUN
64%
17%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 2
GER
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1935 |
ITA
2 - 2
HUN
66%
17%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |