Poland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
TUR
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
POL
3 - 1
UKR
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
0 - 0
POL
30%
25%
46%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
POL
5 - 1
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
POL
2 - 0
LVA
87%
10%
3%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
NED
4 - 0
ISL
85%
10%
4%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
NED
4 - 0
CAN
82%
12%
6%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
NED
47%
22%
31%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
NED
4 - 0
SCO
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
GIB
0 - 6
NED
2%
9%
88%
|
93 | 39 | 54 | 0 |